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UK Stagflation Risk As Inflation Hits 3. Stagflation risk as food and drink prices jumped 4. UK house prices fall two-months in a row, down 0. It was just two years ago that Mark Carney was writing his fourth letter to the British Chancellor, explaining why the country was in a deflationary slump. Even then households were feeling the pinch, despite what officials reported. Now Mark Carney is forced to write a different type of letter to the Chancellor, one where he will have to explain why inflation is above target at 3. November is the fastest paced increase seen in nearly six years.